Newcastle vs Tottenham Prediction Bet Builder Tips 13.04.2024

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#8 Newcastle
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#4 Tottenham
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  • Date and Time: 13 Apr, 2024, 11:30
  • Stadium: St James' Park
  • Location: Newcastle upon Tyne, England
  • Referee: Tim Robinson
  • Avg Cards: 3.77 0.16

Newcastle (4-3-3): Martin Dúbravka; Jacob Murphy; Emil Krafth; Fabian Schär; Dan Burn; Sean Longstaff; Bruno Guimarães; Elliot Anderson; Anthony Gordon; Alexander Isak; Harvey Barnes;

Tottenham (4-2-3-1): Guglielmo Vicario; Pedro Porro; Cristian Romero; Micky van de Ven; Destiny Udogie; Yves Bissouma; Rodrigo Bentancur; Brennan Johnson; James Maddison; Timo Werner; Heung-min Son;

  • Bruno Guimaraes – Over 0.5 Fouls
  • Destiny Udogie – Over 0.5 Fouls
  • Emil Krafth – Over 1.5 Tackles
  • Pedro Porro – Over 1.5 Tackles
  • Alexander Isak – Over 1.5 Shots
  • Heung-min Son – Over 1.5 Shots
  • ODDS: 5/1

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The match between Newcastle and Tottenham kicks off the 32nd round in the Premier League. Both teams are fighting for the places giving the right to European participation next season, which makes the battle for three points on Sunday even more exciting. Tottenham occupies the fourth position in the standings with equal points with fifth-placed Aston Villa, and from today until the end of the season, every point could prove decisive.

Newcastle lost chances of another Champions League appearance long ago, but even qualifying for the Europa League would be considered a success given the situation at the club. Many of Eddie Howe’s key players have been injured or suspended (Sandro Tonali, for example) for most of the season, and it has been challenging for the Magpies to compete against the other top teams in the Premier League.

My bet builder’s first prediction is for Bruno Guimaraes to make at least one tackle. I expect a lot of turnovers in the game, which means Guimaraes will be heavily involved in defence. So far this season, the Brazilian averages 1.27 fouls per game. In Tottenham’s league matches, the opposition team’s central defensive midfielder almost always ends the game with at least one foul committed.

Bruno Guimaraes Season League Stats
App.37
Min.88
Shots1.30
On Target0.43
Goals7
Passes61.19
Tackles2.38
Fouls1.35

Destiny Udogie is having a good debut season in the Premier League and is among the candidates for the best left-back in the league to date. The Italian was bought by Spurs back in 2022 but spent last season on loan at Udinese. Destiny Udogie rushes in attack a lot under Angelos Postecoglou, forcing him to commit fouls in certain situations to stop opposition counter-attacks. I expect more of the same to happen on Saturday afternoon, and it would be a massive surprise to me if Destiny Udogie doesn’t finish the game with at least one foul committed.

Destiny Udogie Season League Stats
App.28
Min.86
Shots0.32
On Target0.18
Goals2
Passes43.36
Tackles2.43
Fouls1.82

I’m heading to the players’ tackle betting market, and my interest is in both right-backs in the upcoming fixture. Pedro Porro from Tottenham is one of the top players in the entire league who attempts the most tackles per game. So far this season, the Spaniard is averaging 2.86 per match, and given that he’ll be playing against Anthony Gordon, I expect him to finish the game with at least two tackles.

Pedro Porro Season League Stats
App.35
Min.88
Shots1.51
On Target0.34
Goals3
Passes53.29
Tackles2.60
Fouls1.06

The alternative to Pedro Poro in Newcastle’s line-up is Emil Krafth. This will only be the Dane’s 11th game so far this season, and most of his minutes are from the bench. It is very likely that Tottenham will see him as the weak point in Newcastle’s defence and will probably force their play into his zone. Therefore, I expect plenty of situations where Emil Krafth will have the opportunity to make at least two tackles.

Emil Krafth Season League Stats
App.17
Min.54
Shots0.24
On Target0.00
Goals0
Passes29.94
Tackles1.24
Fouls0.59

Undoubtably, the best players at Tottenham and Newcastle are in attack, and it is logical to expect a significant number of shots in the match. Son Heung-min and Alexander Isak are amongst the league’s top scorers with 15 goals so far, and I’m surprised that Bet365 has such high odds for both of them to attempt at least two shots in the game (around 4/10). The stats show that Newcastle and Tottenham have conceded an average of almost three shots each from their rivals’ centre forwards this season.

Alexander Isak Season League Stats
App.30
Min.76
Shots2.60
On Target1.43
Goals21
Passes15.80
Tackles0.17
Fouls0.47
Heung-min Son Season League Stats
App.35
Min.84
Shots2.43
On Target1.14
Goals17
Passes29.29
Tackles0.60
Fouls0.34
Correct Score Prediction
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